Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11

From Lambeau to Lombardi, Holmgren, McCarthy and LaFleur and from Starr to Favre, Rodgers and now Jordan Love we’re talking Super Bowl Champion Green Bay Packers football. This Packers Forum is the place to talk NFL football and everything Packers. So, pull up a keyboard, make yourself at home and let’s talk some Packers football.

Moderators: NCF, salmar80, BF004, APB, Packfntk

User avatar
BF004
Huddle Heavy Hitter
Reactions:
Posts: 13860
Joined: 17 Mar 2020 16:05
Location: Suamico
Contact:

Post by BF004 »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
APB wrote:
14 Nov 2024 17:58
It’s not often you get the chance to choose the Chiefs as your upset pick.
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I hope it ends in a tie
Image

Image

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
APB wrote:
14 Nov 2024 17:58
It’s not often you get the chance to choose the Chiefs as your upset pick.
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
Same.

I even catch myself hesitant to double dip with the upset pick because regardless of how confident I am in the pick, I fear being knocked two misses on one game and setting my ceiling at four. I'm a greedy bettor which makes me a terrible bettor.

User avatar
BSA
Reactions:
Posts: 1862
Joined: 14 Aug 2020 09:20
Location: Oeschinensee

Post by BSA »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last. 8-)
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
IT. IS. TIME

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

BSA wrote:
15 Nov 2024 12:01
NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last. 8-)
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
Speaking of hedging bets, @Papa John is in an advantageous spot right now because he's been so consistent. Both of his low score weeks still hit on three picks. He has the luxury of gambling a bit if he chooses knowing that if he loses, his floor for the week is still three picks since a lower score will just be pushed to a mulligan week. That's a nice little safety net.

And I despise him for it.

User avatar
Papa John
Reactions:
Posts: 473
Joined: 22 Sep 2023 11:03

Post by Papa John »

APB wrote:
15 Nov 2024 13:02
BSA wrote:
15 Nov 2024 12:01
NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last. 8-)
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
Speaking of hedging bets, @Papa John is in an advantageous spot right now because he's been so consistent. Both of his low score weeks still hit on three picks. He has the luxury of gambling a bit if he chooses knowing that if he loses, his floor for the week is still three picks since a lower score will just be pushed to a mulligan week. That's a nice little safety net.

And I despise him for it.
Thank you for this breakdown. I was actually thinking about the implications of this exact rule yesterday when I saw that the new thread came out.
"It's better to decide wrongly than weakly; if you're weak, you're likely to be wrong anyway."
- Bill Parcells

User avatar
mnkcarp
Reactions:
Posts: 419
Joined: 03 Jun 2020 16:51

Post by mnkcarp »

The Four:
:ravens:
:bengals:
:falcons:
:chiefs:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:falcons:

User avatar
Raptorman
Reactions:
Posts: 3573
Joined: 23 Mar 2020 19:39
Location: East coast of Florida

Post by Raptorman »

BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs

The One:
Green Bay Packers

Upset
Missing a pick?

User avatar
BF004
Huddle Heavy Hitter
Reactions:
Posts: 13860
Joined: 17 Mar 2020 16:05
Location: Suamico
Contact:

Post by BF004 »

Raptorman wrote:
15 Nov 2024 21:05
BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs

The One:
Green Bay Packers

Upset
Missing a pick?
Yes, can never bring up a gambling site with odds on my work computer, all blocked. Just always hope I remember to get that in before Sunday, lol.
Image

Image

Batgirl
Reactions:
Posts: 11
Joined: 03 Sep 2024 20:29

Post by Batgirl »

Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Buffalo Bills

The One:
Green Bay Packers


Upset:
Dallas Cowboys

User avatar
Papa John
Reactions:
Posts: 473
Joined: 22 Sep 2023 11:03

Post by Papa John »

The Four:
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills

The One:
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

Your upset pick:
Indianapolis Colts
"It's better to decide wrongly than weakly; if you're weak, you're likely to be wrong anyway."
- Bill Parcells

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

The Four:
:ravens:
:bengals:
:broncos:
:bills:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:saints:

User avatar
Pckfn23
Huddle Heavy Hitter
Reactions:
Posts: 14457
Joined: 22 Mar 2020 22:13
Location: Western Wisconsin

Post by Pckfn23 »

The Four:
:steelers:
:bengals:
:broncos:
:bills:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:saints:
Image
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:44
The Four:
:ravens:
:bengals:
:broncos:
:bills:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:browns:
FYI - Browns are favored to win. Pick again.

lake shark
Reactions:
Posts: 357
Joined: 24 Mar 2020 23:14

Post by lake shark »

4
:steelers:
:chargers:
:falcons:
:bills:
1
:packers:
U
:patriots:

User avatar
NCF
Reactions:
Posts: 8286
Joined: 17 Mar 2020 16:04
Location: Hastings, MN

Post by NCF »

OK, Saints over Browns, then.
Image

Read More. Post Less.

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

NCF wrote:
17 Nov 2024 10:46
OK, Saints over Browns, then.
Update your OP, pls. Makes it easier when I go back and tally scores.

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 22:06
Raptorman wrote:
15 Nov 2024 21:05
BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs

The One:
Green Bay Packers

Upset
Missing a pick?
Yes, can never bring up a gambling site with odds on my work computer, all blocked. Just always hope I remember to get that in before Sunday, lol.
Image

User avatar
BF004
Huddle Heavy Hitter
Reactions:
Posts: 13860
Joined: 17 Mar 2020 16:05
Location: Suamico
Contact:

Post by BF004 »

Patriots for upset
Image

Image

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

BF004 wrote:
17 Nov 2024 11:46
Patriots for upset
https://packers-huddle.com/phpBB/viewt ... 05#p183905

User avatar
APB
Reactions:
Posts: 8204
Joined: 20 Mar 2020 06:53
Location: Virginia

Post by APB »

Between @Cdragon and @Pckfn23, it looks like we’re finally gonna get our first perfect pick week! :aok:

Post Reply