I don't fully agree. Obviously the full athletic profile is more useful, but 40 time does translate to the ability to run sideline-to-sideline, IMO. Something Blake Martinez sucked at. Partially because he was a step slow, partially because he lacked explosive traits, but also, even when he was shot out of the cannon, he physically could not get there first. Blake ran a 4.71. I said that is still in the sweet pot, but its definitely right at the order. I would be happy if the Packers had a firm athletic cut-off for that much closer to 4.6.
2020 Positional Draft Talk - ILB
Moderators: NCF, salmar80, BF004, APB, Packfntk
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Let's draft Logan Wilson in the 3rd and Shaun Bradley in the 5th or 6th.
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Blake's 40 is just 'fine'. It is very well above average for an off ball linebacker.
Want to see why seems to lack explosion? Check out his jumps. 28½ vert and 113" broad. Both are dreadful, particularly that vertical.
Want to see why seems to lack explosion? Check out his jumps. 28½ vert and 113" broad. Both are dreadful, particularly that vertical.
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4.65 is not too slow. Anything under 4.75 is not really a concern. Queen and Shazier are exceptionally fast, not the rule. Teams are also taking guys like.
Kuechly - 4.58
Mosley - 4.63
Jones - 4.59
Leonard - 4.7
Vander Esch - 4.65
Hightower - 4.68
David - 4.65
Erik Walden was not sub-240, he is 250. He had 11 sacks in 2016, not 2011, and has never had more than 6 in a season before or after that. He has been an average starter. I guarantee if Baun had a career like him, everyone would be disappointed. Stereographing these guys? You mean like this:who was that guy that did it for us when we won the SB, then went to the Colts an d had 10 sacks the following year? you and others are stereo graphing these players,
It is an interesting comment though that we are stereotyping players by saying there are few or none that have good careers under 240 as edge rushers and yet it isn't stereotyping to say that running a 4.65 is too slow when there are concrete examples of players who are currently top ILBs and ran just that fast or slower.
I thought he was too slow to play ILB?obviously you wouldn't want Baum as a full time OLB in a 34, but it doesn't mean he can't be productive there rotating from ILB.
There have been plenty of sub-240 edge rushers that we would consider good? Who are they?and there have been plenty of sub 240 lb edge rushers,
Last edited by Pckfn23 on 03 Apr 2020 10:40, edited 1 time in total.
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
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Maybe a better indicator would be cut offs, because I would love to have a 300 pound ILB who runs a 4.3 and moves like a corner, but that ain't happening.
Here are my cutoffs where I wouldn't consider taking them in the 1st round:
Height: 6-1
Weight: 230
40 Yard Dash (ET): 4.7
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 18
Vertical Jump: 34
Broad Jump: 9' 6"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.3
3-Cone Drill: 7.2
Some wiggle room in there, but probably my thresholds.
Last edited by Pckfn23 on 03 Apr 2020 10:53, edited 1 time in total.
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
Fred Warner would be almost ideal, for me. Really athletic build, but still big enough and physical enough. And effortlessly flies on the football field.
http://www.nfl.com/videos/san-francisco ... 019-season
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This is my ideal ILB, Luke Kuechly:
Height: 6032
Weight: 242
40 Yard Dash (ET): 4.58
20 Yard (ET): 2.63
10 Yard (ET): 1.57
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 27
Vertical Jump: 38
Broad Jump: 10'03"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.12
3-Cone Drill: 6.92
https://www.mockdraftable.com/player/lu ... ition=OBLB
Height: 6032
Weight: 242
40 Yard Dash (ET): 4.58
20 Yard (ET): 2.63
10 Yard (ET): 1.57
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 27
Vertical Jump: 38
Broad Jump: 10'03"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.12
3-Cone Drill: 6.92
https://www.mockdraftable.com/player/lu ... ition=OBLB
Last edited by Pckfn23 on 03 Apr 2020 10:58, edited 1 time in total.
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
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Is there a nice googlespreadsheet somewhere with prospects and their combine results?Pckfn23 wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 10:39Maybe a better indicator would be cut offs, because I would love to have a 300 pound ILB who runs a 4.3 and moves like a corner, but that ain't happening.
Here are my cutoffs where I wouldn't consider taking them in the 1st round:
Height: 6-1
Weight: 230
40 Yard Dash (ET): 4.7
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 18
Vertical Jump: 34
Broad Jump: 9' 6"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.3
3-Cone Drill: 7.2
Some wiggle room in there, but probably my thresholds.
geesh, you people are more ol school then Iam, how can u ask a ILB to cover a TE that can run circles around him, not to mention the RB's who are even faster? it just doesn't work, last year there where a half Doz lbers that ran 4.5, this year I think there are 8, if ya want to get back to more 2 ILB formations, then both running high 4.6's wont cut it, thats status quo and has forced us to use a hybrid safety with more speed on passing downs, which almost every down, so I have to disagree.
I've had trouble finding combine stats for things like the 3 cone and shuttle, so 40 time is about all there is to go by
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Looks like the only stark contrast from Blake is the jumping ability.NCF wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 10:42Fred Warner would be almost ideal, for me. Really athletic build, but still big enough and physical enough. And effortlessly flies on the football field.
http://www.nfl.com/videos/san-francisco ... 019-season
Measurable Measurement %tile
Height 6' 2" 65
Weight 237 lbs 23
Arm Length 31⅝" 33
Hand Size 10⅞" 99
10 Yard Split 1.61s 69
40 Yard Dash 4.71s 65
Vertical Jump 28½" 5
Broad Jump 113" 39
3-Cone Drill 6.98s 75
20 Yard Shuttle 4.2s 77
Bench Press 22 reps 49
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I wish, but alas the best I can find is something like mockdraftable.comBF004 wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 10:56Is there a nice googlespreadsheet somewhere with prospects and their combine results?Pckfn23 wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 10:39Maybe a better indicator would be cut offs, because I would love to have a 300 pound ILB who runs a 4.3 and moves like a corner, but that ain't happening.
Here are my cutoffs where I wouldn't consider taking them in the 1st round:
Height: 6-1
Weight: 230
40 Yard Dash (ET): 4.7
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 18
Vertical Jump: 34
Broad Jump: 9' 6"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.3
3-Cone Drill: 7.2
Some wiggle room in there, but probably my thresholds.
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
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Fred Warner is a good one.
Luke Kuechly is probably my ideal: a little bigger at 6'3" 242
4.58 SEC 40-yard
27 REPS on the bench
38.0 INCH vert
123.0 INCH broad
6.92 SEC 3-cone
4.12 SEC short shuttle
Roquan Smith only ran at the combine, and is a bit smaller: 6'1" 235, but ran a 4.51
My ideal is probably 6'1" - 6'3", 240ish, 4.5 - 4.6, with a 3-cone in the 6.9-7.1 range, with a vert of 34"+ and broad of around 120"
Luke Kuechly is probably my ideal: a little bigger at 6'3" 242
4.58 SEC 40-yard
27 REPS on the bench
38.0 INCH vert
123.0 INCH broad
6.92 SEC 3-cone
4.12 SEC short shuttle
Roquan Smith only ran at the combine, and is a bit smaller: 6'1" 235, but ran a 4.51
My ideal is probably 6'1" - 6'3", 240ish, 4.5 - 4.6, with a 3-cone in the 6.9-7.1 range, with a vert of 34"+ and broad of around 120"
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Blake Martinez against all other 2nd level Linebackers:
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
And ELITE 10 & 20 yard splits. Don't have Blake's handy, but given the percentiles, Warner gets going better than most.
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Q: Why is Zach Baun being sought as an EDGE to off-ball convert in the early rounds, but a guy like Carter Coughlin from Minnesota isn't? Both had some coverage responsibilities; both were recruited as LBs. Both played in the Big Ten. His sack numbers aren't quite as impressive (high season of 9.5 compared to Baun's 12.5), but that's less important if they're shifting positions. Coughlin was a little faster than Baun (4.57 to 4.65), jumped higher (36 to 32.5") and farther (121 to 115).
I feel like I'd rather roll the dice on Coughlin's position conversion than Baun's AND he's a late round prospect rather than a higher round prospect.
I feel like I'd rather roll the dice on Coughlin's position conversion than Baun's AND he's a late round prospect rather than a higher round prospect.
He probably is. Just because the media isn't talking about it doesn't mean teams aren't thinking it.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:08Q: Why is Zach Baun being sought as an EDGE to off-ball convert in the early rounds, but a guy like Carter Coughlin from Minnesota isn't?
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I also think it's worth mentioning that Blake's 4.71 and Warner's 4.64 definitely breach some kind of barrier. I know it's nitpicky to say 0.07 seconds of speed is important, but when you're looking at a preferred range of around 4.55 - 4.65, Warner is just on the cusp of that, and Martinez easily outside of it. I don't know if that makes much more difference than the explosion visible in the jumps and splits, but I think it's noteworthy enough to mention as a difference.
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True. I guess I'd take either in the 4th-6th; I just think only one of them is properly valued.NCF wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:12He probably is. Just because the media isn't talking about it doesn't mean teams aren't thinking it.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:08Q: Why is Zach Baun being sought as an EDGE to off-ball convert in the early rounds, but a guy like Carter Coughlin from Minnesota isn't?
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Here is what it looks like for the average for 2nd Level linebackers:
Height: 6-1.5
Weight: 241
40 Yard Dash: 4.71
10 Yard Split: 1.61
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 22
Vertical Jump: 34"
Broad Jump: 116"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.26
3-Cone Drill: 7.1
Height: 6-1.5
Weight: 241
40 Yard Dash: 4.71
10 Yard Split: 1.61
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 22
Vertical Jump: 34"
Broad Jump: 116"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.26
3-Cone Drill: 7.1
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."