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Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 08:49
by BF004
Even if you take out Week 1, still not good.

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Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 08:55
by Pckfn23
BF004 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 08:48
go pak go wrote:
27 Sep 2021 08:34
Right now the Packers defense ranks 9th in the NFL in terms of yards allowed.
Feel good stat, we have some work to do.


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Would be interesting to see what it is for the last 3 halves (halfs?) compared to the first 3 halves.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 09:05
by YoHoChecko
BF004 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 08:48
go pak go wrote:
27 Sep 2021 08:34
Right now the Packers defense ranks 9th in the NFL in terms of yards allowed.
Feel good stat, we have some work to do.
I mean I think we can agree with "some work to do."

But if we can get our 3rd and long/medium defense performing at close to league average, a lot of the rest will fall into place. The standard run game is not gashing us. We force third downs. Just get off the field.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 09:17
by BF004
YoHoChecko wrote:
27 Sep 2021 09:05
BF004 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 08:48
go pak go wrote:
27 Sep 2021 08:34
Right now the Packers defense ranks 9th in the NFL in terms of yards allowed.
Feel good stat, we have some work to do.
I mean I think we can agree with "some work to do."

But if we can get our 3rd and long/medium defense performing at close to league average, a lot of the rest will fall into place. The standard run game is not gashing us. We force third downs. Just get off the field.
You might just be on to something there :P

1st and 2nd down:
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3rd down:
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Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 09:19
by Pckfn23
[mention]BF004[/mention] are you able to look at it by halves or only full games?

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 09:28
by BF004
Pckfn23 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 09:19
@BF004 are you able to look at it by halves or only full games?
Yessir, by quarter.

https://rbsdm.com/stats/stats/#tab-1709-3

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 09:33
by BF004
Pckfn23 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 09:19
@BF004 are you able to look at it by halves or only full games?
Or get into it yourself (can take just a little time to get familiar with everything, but once you get a little comfortable, near endless modification and creativity).

https://www.nflfastr.com/articles/beginners_guide.html

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 09:40
by Pckfn23
BF004 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 09:33
Pckfn23 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 09:19
@BF004 are you able to look at it by halves or only full games?
Or get into it yourself (can take just a little time to get familiar with everything, but once you get a little comfortable, near endless modification and creativity).

https://www.nflfastr.com/articles/beginners_guide.html
Sweet, Thanks!

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 10:15
by Pckfn23
Trying to figure out why the rush EPA for the Packers is 27th for week 3...

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 10:24
by BF004
Pckfn23 wrote:
27 Sep 2021 10:15
Trying to figure out why the rush EPA for the Packers is 27th for week 3...
Guessing 1 TD and only 5 first downs on 25 attempts isn't very good (24% impact runs). Running on 3rd down and NOT getting a first down or TD would be a big negative EPA. Don't have numbers for that.

Just for comparison, the 9ers had 6 1st downs and 2 TDs (8 big EPA plays) on 21 attempts (38% impact runs).

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 10:34
by YoHoChecko
Can I say...

I am SO glad the Packers have already had: the Fox #1 broadcast crew, the MNF broadcast crew, and the SNF broadcast crew.

Everyone has now had their opportunity to rehash the offseason narratives and say their piece on it, because you know everyone who has a platform was going to want to chime in.

I'm not saying it's dead and buried (Steven Awful Smith), but it's nice to have gotten through the bulk of it and hopefully get more in-season narratives and commentary in future broadcasts.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 10:43
by go pak go
YoHoChecko wrote:
27 Sep 2021 10:34
Can I say...

I am SO glad the Packers have already had: the Fox #1 broadcast crew, the MNF broadcast crew, and the SNF broadcast crew.

Everyone has now had their opportunity to rehash the offseason narratives and say their piece on it, because you know everyone who has a platform was going to want to chime in.

I'm not saying it's dead and buried (Steven Awful Smith), but it's nice to have gotten through the bulk of it and hopefully get more in-season narratives and commentary in future broadcasts.
I'm just so glad we only have one more night game until December 12 vs Chicago. I hate night games.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 27 Sep 2021 12:35
by Waldo
I really hate Monday Night games, glad we don't have anymore of those. Only way to watch 'em is buy ESPN (not ESPN+) or find a stream. Stupid. ESPN is no longer a basic tier channel most places either. On DirecTV we have Sunday ticket, NFLN and RZ, but no ESPN.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 28 Sep 2021 08:39
by NCF
Interesting little tidbit. Rodgers has not played the Steelers since the Super Bowl.


Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 28 Sep 2021 08:45
by Pckfn23
https://www.greenbaypressgazette.com/st ... 316335002/
Notable closures
Black & Tan Grille (A new restaurant, Slander Restaurant & Lounge, opened here.)
Hansen's Dairy & Deli
Jimmy Seas Pub & Grill
Kaap's Old World Chocolates
Nala's Wine & Cheese (Fromagerie)
The Cannery Public Market
Titletown Brewing Company's restaurant (Brewery and taprooms still open.)
Wally's Spot
Bacon Burger Company, 2450 Velp Ave., Howard. Bacon blended into the burger patties, deep-fried sides, chili, malts and shakes round out the streamlined menu. Hours: 11:30 a.m.-8 p.m. Sunday-Thursday, 11:30 a.m.-9 p.m. Friday-Saturday. Contact: 920-393-4762, facebook.com/baconburgerco, baconburgercompany.com.

Cheesesteak Rebellion, 1301 S. Broadway, Green Bay. Star Wars decor on the walls; cheesesteaks, burgers, soups, cheese curds and fries on the menu. Hours: 11 a.m.-8 p.m. every day except Tuesday. Contact: 920-391-5721, facebook.com/CHEESESTEAKREBELLION.

The Depot Gastro Pub, 200 Dousman St., Green Bay. Opened in the former home of the Titletown Brewing Co. restaurant, the gastropub serves appetizers, burgers, sandwiches, soups, salads, flatbread pizzas, full meals and desserts. Popular Titletown Brewing dishes still served include turkey cranberry melt, poutine, and bison and elk burgers. Hours: 11 a.m.-9 p.m. Tuesday-Friday, 10 a.m.-9 p.m. Saturday, 10 a.m.-3 p.m. Sunday. Contact: 920-617-8360, facebook.com/TheDepotGastropub, thedepotgastropub.com

The Flour Pot, 307 Reid St., De Pere. Small bakery featuring European treats like kolache, kringle and Belgian pies. Place orders for pickup. Hours: 9 a.m.-4 p.m. Wednesday-Saturday. Contact: 920-493-8818, facebook.com/learntomakeandbake, flourpot-llc.com

More:Gina Guth carries on a family tradition of making Belgian pies at The Flour Pot in De Pere

Island Sushi Bar & Grill, 875 Heritage Road, De Pere. More than 40 sushi rolls raw, fried and baked. All you care to eat sushi rolls is an option. Hours: 5-9 p.m. Tuesday-Thursday, 4-9 p.m. Friday and Saturday. Contact: 920-632-7964, facebook.com/IslandSushiBG, islandsushiwi.com

Mangiare Italian Restaurant, 121 N. Adams St., Green Bay. Fine dining Italian fare for a wide range of tastes including lamb, quail, seafood dishes, build your own pasta dish, antipasti, desserts and an extensive wine list. Takes reservations. Hours: 4 p.m. to close daily. Contact: 920-403-0900, facebook.com/MangiareGreenBay, mangiare-greenbay.com

Paradise North Distillery, 101 Bay Beach Road, Green Bay. Distills a whiskey, vodka and three rums. Tasting room with a view of the bay of Green Bay and a menu with 14 cocktails including both classic and Wisconsin versions of the Old-Fashioned. Hours: 4-9 p.m. Thursday-Friday; noon-9 p.m. Saturday-Sunday. Contact: 920-328-9949, facebook.com/paradisenorthdistillery, paradisenorthdistillery.com

Slander Restaurant & Lounge, 130 E. Walnut St., Green Bay. Small, medium and large plates of upscale dining fare like fire roasted oysters, duck and tandoor trout. Full bar. Takes reservations. Hours: 4-10 p.m. Wednesday-Thursday; 4 p.m.-midnight Friday; 10 a.m.-2 p.m. and 5 p.m.-midnight Saturday. Contact: 920-430-7700, facebook.com/slanderrestaurant, slandergb.com

Sky World Coffee & Custard, 2040 Airport Drive, Ashwaubenon. Located inside the Radisson Hotel & Conference Center, you can indeed order coffee and frozen custard as well as breakfast items, sandwiches and soups. Hours: 6 a.m. - 6 p.m. daily. Contact: 920-944-9759, facebook.com/SkyWorldCoffeeandCustard

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 28 Sep 2021 08:59
by BF004
Pckfn23 wrote:
28 Sep 2021 08:45
The Depot Gastro Pub, 200 Dousman St., Green Bay. Opened in the former home of the Titletown Brewing Co. restaurant, the gastropub serves appetizers, burgers, sandwiches, soups, salads, flatbread pizzas, full meals and desserts. Popular Titletown Brewing dishes still served include turkey cranberry melt, poutine, and bison and elk burgers. Hours: 11 a.m.-9 p.m. Tuesday-Friday, 10 a.m.-9 p.m. Saturday, 10 a.m.-3 p.m. Sunday. Contact: 920-617-8360, facebook.com/TheDepotGastropub, thedepotgastropub.com
I will say this place has fantastic food. Haven't been there yet, but got it off EatStreet prolly, 3-4 times now.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 28 Sep 2021 10:02
by YoHoChecko
I've been tracking the week-by-week playoff odds according to Football Outsiders and I'm happy to report that the past two weeks have returned to just about preseason levels for making the playoffs (though significantly lower odds of a 1- or 2-seed, and higher of a 3- or 4-seed)
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Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 28 Sep 2021 10:05
by BF004
Pretty surprised our playoff odds went down a little given the even worse than expected performances from the rest of our division. Division odds up but WC chances down, overall chances down.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 28 Sep 2021 10:10
by YoHoChecko
BF004 wrote:
28 Sep 2021 10:05
Pretty surprised our playoff odds went down a little given the even worse than expected performances from the rest of our division. Division odds up but WC chances down, overall chances down.
Yeah, I think the main thing was that we were expected to be a very good team and as soon as we added any real data, 100% of that data was very very bad. So if you look at our expected DVOA, it cut in half from preseason to week one. That reduced the number of wins they thought we'd get throughout the rest of the year (probably by slightly more than half a win).

But further, it means that in the 10,000 simulations they run based on DVOA, the Packers beat the Saints most times. So once they lost, it locked in the scenarios in which they'd lost week one and lowered the expected win total by about a full win.

Re: General Packer News 2021

Posted: 28 Sep 2021 12:03
by paco
I was a big fan of Isaiah Johnson in 2019. Wanted to double up with him and Gardner-Johnson.