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Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 08:52
by BF004
NCF wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:42
APB wrote: ↑14 Nov 2024 17:58
It’s not often you get the chance to choose the Chiefs as your upset pick.
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I hope it ends in a tie
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 09:55
by APB
NCF wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:42
APB wrote: ↑14 Nov 2024 17:58
It’s not often you get the chance to choose the Chiefs as your upset pick.
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
Same.
I even catch myself hesitant to double dip with the upset pick because regardless of how confident I am in the pick, I fear being knocked two misses on one game and setting my ceiling at four. I'm a greedy bettor which makes me a terrible bettor.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 12:01
by BSA
NCF wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last.
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 13:02
by APB
BSA wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 12:01
NCF wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last.
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
Speaking of hedging bets,
@Papa John is in an advantageous spot right now because he's been so consistent. Both of his low score weeks still hit on three picks. He has the luxury of gambling a bit if he chooses knowing that if he loses, his floor for the week is still three picks since a lower score will just be pushed to a mulligan week. That's a nice little safety net.
And I despise him for it.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 14:53
by Papa John
APB wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 13:02
BSA wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 12:01
NCF wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last.
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
Speaking of hedging bets, @Papa John is in an advantageous spot right now because he's been so consistent. Both of his low score weeks still hit on three picks. He has the luxury of gambling a bit if he chooses knowing that if he loses, his floor for the week is still three picks since a lower score will just be pushed to a mulligan week. That's a nice little safety net.
And I despise him for it.
Thank you for this breakdown. I was actually thinking about the implications of this exact rule yesterday when I saw that the new thread came out.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 16:45
by mnkcarp
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 21:05
by Raptorman
BF004 wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
The One:
Green Bay Packers
Upset
Missing a pick?
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 15 Nov 2024 22:06
by BF004
Raptorman wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 21:05
BF004 wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
The One:
Green Bay Packers
Upset
Missing a pick?
Yes, can never bring up a gambling site with odds on my work computer, all blocked. Just always hope I remember to get that in before Sunday, lol.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 16 Nov 2024 07:26
by Batgirl
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Buffalo Bills
The One:
Green Bay Packers
Upset:
Dallas Cowboys
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 16 Nov 2024 09:37
by Papa John
The Four:
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills
The One:
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
Your upset pick:
Indianapolis Colts
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 16 Nov 2024 12:12
by APB
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 16 Nov 2024 23:53
by Pckfn23
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 08:23
by APB
NCF wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:44
The Four:
The One:
Your upset pick:
FYI - Browns are favored to win. Pick again.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 10:14
by lake shark
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 10:46
by NCF
OK, Saints over Browns, then.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 11:42
by APB
NCF wrote: ↑17 Nov 2024 10:46
OK, Saints over Browns, then.
Update your OP, pls. Makes it easier when I go back and tally scores.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 11:44
by APB
BF004 wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 22:06
Raptorman wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 21:05
BF004 wrote: ↑15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
The One:
Green Bay Packers
Upset
Missing a pick?
Yes, can never bring up a gambling site with odds on my work computer, all blocked. Just always hope I remember to get that in before Sunday, lol.
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 11:46
by BF004
Patriots for upset
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 11:49
by APB
Re: Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11
Posted: 17 Nov 2024 18:26
by APB
Between
@Cdragon and
@Pckfn23, it looks like we’re finally gonna get our first perfect pick week!
