Re: Vikings @ Packers GDT: Sunday, January 2nd, 2022 - 7:20 CST
Posted: 30 Dec 2021 14:51
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Luck. No. Now does QB play have an effect on the defense? I'm sure it does. How much? Well, take NE as an example. Are you going to tell me that Mac Jones's play is good enough to have the Pats defense at 17 ppg? Last year was New England's worst year on defense since Belichick took over. 22 ppg. That tells you how bad Newton played. He couldn't win with a good defense.Crazylegs Starks wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 14:51Ding, ding, ding! It's ridiculous how few times Brady has had below average or bad defenses. He's the luckiest modern era QB by far.
Yeah, okay. Tampa's defense gave up 22 ppg last year. By far the worst defense Brady has ever played with.Drj820 wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 15:46The Bucs werent a playoff team before he got to tampa and they had a lot of talent before he got there. Brady comes in and showed them how to win. Showed them the championship mindset needed to hold up a trophy. Showed even Arians how to come in and prepare for greatness everyday. He barked at his OLmen when they needed an adjustment as he was getting everyone to raise their standard of professionalism and preparation. I believe he learned alot of this from Bill Belichik. To Bradys credit, he was the perfect person to implement Bills vision on the field. He then went to tampa and implemented that vision successfully.
Credit where it is due.
Wake me up when Mac Jones wins a SB.Raptorman wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 15:57Yeah, okay. Tampa's defense gave up 22 ppg last year. By far the worst defense Brady has ever played with.Drj820 wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 15:46The Bucs werent a playoff team before he got to tampa and they had a lot of talent before he got there. Brady comes in and showed them how to win. Showed them the championship mindset needed to hold up a trophy. Showed even Arians how to come in and prepare for greatness everyday. He barked at his OLmen when they needed an adjustment as he was getting everyone to raise their standard of professionalism and preparation. I believe he learned alot of this from Bill Belichik. To Bradys credit, he was the perfect person to implement Bills vision on the field. He then went to tampa and implemented that vision successfully.
Credit where it is due.
But okay. So, we can credit Mac Jones with the Turn around in New England from last year?
Question, if kork Cousins was the Bucs QB last year...do you believe Cousins comes to Lambeau and beats the Packers in the NFCCG?Raptorman wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 15:57Yeah, okay. Tampa's defense gave up 22 ppg last year. By far the worst defense Brady has ever played with.Drj820 wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 15:46The Bucs werent a playoff team before he got to tampa and they had a lot of talent before he got there. Brady comes in and showed them how to win. Showed them the championship mindset needed to hold up a trophy. Showed even Arians how to come in and prepare for greatness everyday. He barked at his OLmen when they needed an adjustment as he was getting everyone to raise their standard of professionalism and preparation. I believe he learned alot of this from Bill Belichik. To Bradys credit, he was the perfect person to implement Bills vision on the field. He then went to tampa and implemented that vision successfully.
Credit where it is due.
But okay. So, we can credit Mac Jones with the Turn around in New England from last year?
I totally agree there. It's Patrick's for the rest of the year barring injury, IMO. Myers can be pencilled in as the 2022 starter.packman114 wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 17:28At this point in time I think we're better off with Patrick staying at center for the playoffs. He's playing pretty well and Myers being a rookie against playoff defenses would just make me uncomfortable.
I don't think I'm oversimplifying here. A good QB controls the ball for 35 minutes. A bad QB controls the ball for 25 minutes. Is it not possible to the point of certainty, that one of the reasons his defence concedes fewer points per game is because the opposing offence has fewer chances?Raptorman wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 13:48Simply pointing out the fact that when you consistently have a defense that holds the other team to 20 ppg or less, it's a lot easier for a QB to win. How many times has Rodgers had that? 3 times How many times has Brady? 15. Cousins. Once The worst defense Brady ever had, gave up 21.6 ppg during the year. Even Stafford wins 73% of his games when his defense only gives up 21 ppg. Cousins win 80% of those games. Rodgers 85%. The NFL norm for QB's winning at 21 ppg or less is around 80%. Go to 18 ppg and it goes up to 85%. Everyone praises Brady as the greatest of all time. Put on Detroit and let's see how he does.
The most extra chances for an offense to have the ball in a game, barring onside kicks is 2, 3 in overtime games.dsr wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 19:07I don't think I'm oversimplifying here. A good QB controls the ball for 35 minutes. A bad QB controls the ball for 25 minutes. Is it not possible to the point of certainty, that one of the reasons his defence concedes fewer points per game is because the opposing offence has fewer chances?Raptorman wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 13:48Simply pointing out the fact that when you consistently have a defense that holds the other team to 20 ppg or less, it's a lot easier for a QB to win. How many times has Rodgers had that? 3 times How many times has Brady? 15. Cousins. Once The worst defense Brady ever had, gave up 21.6 ppg during the year. Even Stafford wins 73% of his games when his defense only gives up 21 ppg. Cousins win 80% of those games. Rodgers 85%. The NFL norm for QB's winning at 21 ppg or less is around 80%. Go to 18 ppg and it goes up to 85%. Everyone praises Brady as the greatest of all time. Put on Detroit and let's see how he does.
(And that's before we consider interceptions.)
Exactly. If a QB is so good that he just has 3 or 4 possessions each half, then the opposition get far fewer chances to score than if he regularly goes 3-and-out. If they produce stats on average number of possessions per game, I bet Brady (and by extension his opponents) is relatively lower than most.Raptorman wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 20:02The most extra chances for an offense to have the ball in a game, barring onside kicks is 2, 3 in overtime games.dsr wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 19:07I don't think I'm oversimplifying here. A good QB controls the ball for 35 minutes. A bad QB controls the ball for 25 minutes. Is it not possible to the point of certainty, that one of the reasons his defence concedes fewer points per game is because the opposing offence has fewer chances?Raptorman wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 13:48Simply pointing out the fact that when you consistently have a defense that holds the other team to 20 ppg or less, it's a lot easier for a QB to win. How many times has Rodgers had that? 3 times How many times has Brady? 15. Cousins. Once The worst defense Brady ever had, gave up 21.6 ppg during the year. Even Stafford wins 73% of his games when his defense only gives up 21 ppg. Cousins win 80% of those games. Rodgers 85%. The NFL norm for QB's winning at 21 ppg or less is around 80%. Go to 18 ppg and it goes up to 85%. Everyone praises Brady as the greatest of all time. Put on Detroit and let's see how he does.
(And that's before we consider interceptions.)
Interceptions are not as important as you think they are. Favre has 3 times as many (game-wise) as Rodgers and yet their win percentages are about the same.
The worst thing that can happen to a D, any D, is to have the O go 3-and-out more than once a game. But this is Rodgers' MO. Deep pass on 1st down, overthrown. Handoff to Jones on the 2nd down, gains 2 yards. Pressured on 3rd down and incomplete.dsr wrote: ↑31 Dec 2021 05:02Exactly. If a QB is so good that he just has 3 or 4 possessions each half, then the opposition get far fewer chances to score than if he regularly goes 3-and-out. If they produce stats on average number of possessions per game, I bet Brady (and by extension his opponents) is relatively lower than most.Raptorman wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 20:02The most extra chances for an offense to have the ball in a game, barring onside kicks is 2, 3 in overtime games.dsr wrote: ↑30 Dec 2021 19:07
I don't think I'm oversimplifying here. A good QB controls the ball for 35 minutes. A bad QB controls the ball for 25 minutes. Is it not possible to the point of certainty, that one of the reasons his defence concedes fewer points per game is because the opposing offence has fewer chances?
(And that's before we consider interceptions.)
Interceptions are not as important as you think they are. Favre has 3 times as many (game-wise) as Rodgers and yet their win percentages are about the same.