Re: 2020 General Draft Discussion
Posted: 28 Apr 2020 21:01
Exactly, if moving the goalposts just slightly completely changes the argument, the original point was... Pointless.
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Exactly, if moving the goalposts just slightly completely changes the argument, the original point was... Pointless.
The point was to show Rodgers has never had first round talent. That isn't pointless if it can be shown that first round receivers produce better over there careers than those from other rounds - the 1st and 5th round comparison by NCF proves it for that round comparison.
Pckfn23 wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 21:21Actually it is pointless, because when you add in 2nd round picks he rockets up to 3rd all time.
The graphic wasn't about the production of 1st round receivers compared to other rounds... Wait... That's an even more drastic goalpost move!
It's a cherry picked stat that alone and without context means absolutely nothing.
Bill Belichek's Patriots have never drafted a QB round 1, does that now mean teama shouldn't draft QBs in round 1 to be a successful?!!!!
Has anyone ever said jennings, jordy, cobb, finley, driver were bad? Rodgers won a superbowl, had the best qb season evergo pak go wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 21:322011 - 2017 the rallying cry was the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't field him a defense.
Now that he has a defense, the rallying cry has shifted that the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't give him and never given him any WR talent.
I have heard more b*thing of lack of WR talent during his entire career than I ever imagined possible. This argument is just not true. It's not even close to true.
I honestly don't think you can have a better group of WRs on a team than the Packers did from 2009 - 2014. I mean it was league historical great. Like for sure the best in GB all time and one of best league all time. The only problem with that from a team perspective though is it only produced two postseason wins from 2011 - 2014. The offense just didn't produce when we needed it to. The team needed a different direction and allocated resources to the defense.
For the most part that attempt failed until 2018. We are now in the 2nd part of the building process from 2018.
Rodgers has never been screwed of offensive talent He has had amazing Olines, amazing WRs and occasionally amazing running games. We just didn't have anything to show for it. I will agree our WR #2 has been below average in 2019 (2018 we still had Adams and Cobb). But that is one year. Not an entire career.
Actually the pictures title was, "Touchdown Passes to First Round Draft Picks.". Then it lists the top 10 QBs of all time by TD Passes. So no it was not about whether first round talent at WR is better than other rounds. If that was the case why wasn't a single receiver in the picture??? Speaking of goalposts being moved.bud fox wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 22:03Pckfn23 wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 21:21Actually it is pointless, because when you add in 2nd round picks he rockets up to 3rd all time.
The graphic wasn't about the production of 1st round receivers compared to other rounds... Wait... That's an even more drastic goalpost move!
It's a cherry picked stat that alone and without context means absolutely nothing.
Bill Belichek's Patriots have never drafted a QB round 1, does that now mean teama shouldn't draft QBs in round 1 to be a successful?!!!!
The picture literally was titled tds to first round receivers.
The argument behind the picture is whether a first round talent at wr is better than other rounds. Figures indicate it is.
Now you included 2nd round wrs to boost rodgers numbers - what if rodgers didnt have any 2nd round receivers would you include 3rd round receivers? Its silly to try to prove a separate point that rodgers has had talent in response to that image.
always extremes with you, it's not that Rodgers didn't get good receivers, the point is not lately, the rallying cry wasn't that Ted didn't draft defensive players as he snubbed Rodgers or the offense, it's that he missed with so many of the defensive picks, the freaking rallying cry was you and other complaining and thinking it's the coaching, or with Rodgers that he cant turn jags into Adams type receivers, your always trying to paint blame in the wrong area, your turning every point to the extreme, and your constant attacks, ruin the conversation for me, I don't need your ignorant insults, .go pak go wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 21:322011 - 2017 the rallying cry was the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't field him a defense.
Now that he has a defense, the rallying cry has shifted that the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't give him and never given him any WR talent.
I have heard more b*thing of lack of WR talent during his entire career than I ever imagined possible. This argument is just not true. It's not even close to true.
I honestly don't think you can have a better group of WRs on a team than the Packers did from 2009 - 2014. I mean it was league historical great. Like for sure the best in GB all time and one of best league all time. The only problem with that from a team perspective though is it only produced two postseason wins from 2011 - 2014. The offense just didn't produce when we needed it to. The team needed a different direction and allocated resources to the defense.
For the most part that attempt failed until 2018. We are now in the 2nd part of the building process from 2018.
Rodgers has never been screwed of offensive talent He has had amazing Olines, amazing WRs and occasionally amazing running games. We just didn't have anything to show for it. I will agree our WR #2 has been below average in 2019 (2018 we still had Adams and Cobb). But that is one year. Not an entire career.
The post was made right now at a time when the overall sentiment and discussion in the media is around Rodgers never having a 1st round talent around him. That statement means that there is a thought that first round talent is better - which has been proven by stats. The picture then identifies that Rodgers is very low on this list to the others.Pckfn23 wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 22:33Actually the pictures title was, "Touchdown Passes to First Round Draft Picks.". Then it lists the top 10 QBs of all time by TD Passes. So no it was not about whether first round talent at WR is better than other rounds. If that was the case why wasn't a single receiver in the picture??? Speaking of goalposts being moved.bud fox wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 22:03Pckfn23 wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 21:21Actually it is pointless, because when you add in 2nd round picks he rockets up to 3rd all time.
The graphic wasn't about the production of 1st round receivers compared to other rounds... Wait... That's an even more drastic goalpost move!
It's a cherry picked stat that alone and without context means absolutely nothing.
Bill Belichek's Patriots have never drafted a QB round 1, does that now mean teama shouldn't draft QBs in round 1 to be a successful?!!!!
The picture literally was titled tds to first round receivers.
The argument behind the picture is whether a first round talent at wr is better than other rounds. Figures indicate it is.
Now you included 2nd round wrs to boost rodgers numbers - what if rodgers didnt have any 2nd round receivers would you include 3rd round receivers? Its silly to try to prove a separate point that rodgers has had talent in response to that image.
I didn't just included 2nd round WRs and they didn't just included 1st round WRs. They and I includes RBs and TEa as well.
I included 2nd round draft picks who caught a TD pass to level the playing field and demonstrate the uselessness of the picture.
It's silly to try and use that picture and try and prove Rodgers did not have talent to throw to.
Stats do not prove this, not by any stretch. First round talent is not inherently better. They may have a better chance at it. I am pretty sure that can be proven. There are a handful of Round 2 guys from the Packers over the years that beg to different that Round 1 talent is just better.
He is very low on the list throwing to players picked in the first round. Nothing more, nothing less. It was a poorly conceived graphic to try and highlight a poorly conceived point.The picture then identifies that Rodgers is very low on this list to the others.
Why would I accept something that is false or is a blatant manipulation? No manipulation on my end, no narrative, simply providing context to the situation.Sometimes it is difficult to understand intention but please it would be easier if you just listen and accept instead of trying to manipulate and drive your own narrative.
Again, that is a false assumption. We have seen no data that that is true. We have seen that Round 1 wide receivers have more TDs on average compared to Round 5. Does that hold true for Round 2? By how much? Not every Round 1 wide receiver is more production than any other wide receiver.FACTS - Round 1 WRs are more productive.
A fact that is indeed a fact. Hooray!FACTS - Rodgers has never had one in his career via draft or FA.
Another fact, albeit 6 to 9/10 years old... A lot can change about a player in that amount of time. I may even hazard a guess that they gotten worse to some degree.FACTS - Rodgers was all-time great when the packers had quality receiving options.
Bud this is far to easy to understand, it needs to be twisted into something much more complicated to cloud this reality.bud fox wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 00:41The post was made right now at a time when the overall sentiment and discussion in the media is around Rodgers never having a 1st round talent around him. That statement means that there is a thought that first round talent is better - which has been proven by stats. The picture then identifies that Rodgers is very low on this list to the others.Pckfn23 wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 22:33Actually the pictures title was, "Touchdown Passes to First Round Draft Picks.". Then it lists the top 10 QBs of all time by TD Passes. So no it was not about whether first round talent at WR is better than other rounds. If that was the case why wasn't a single receiver in the picture??? Speaking of goalposts being moved.bud fox wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 22:03
The picture literally was titled tds to first round receivers.
The argument behind the picture is whether a first round talent at wr is better than other rounds. Figures indicate it is.
Now you included 2nd round wrs to boost rodgers numbers - what if rodgers didnt have any 2nd round receivers would you include 3rd round receivers? Its silly to try to prove a separate point that rodgers has had talent in response to that image.
I didn't just included 2nd round WRs and they didn't just included 1st round WRs. They and I includes RBs and TEa as well.
I included 2nd round draft picks who caught a TD pass to level the playing field and demonstrate the uselessness of the picture.
It's silly to try and use that picture and try and prove Rodgers did not have talent to throw to.
Sometimes it is difficult to understand intention but please it would be easier if you just listen and accept instead of trying to manipulate and drive your own narrative. FACTS - Round 1 WRs are more productive. FACTS - Rodgers has never had one in his career via draft or FA. FACTS - Rodgers was all-time great when the packers had quality receiving options.
That could be said, except that this last Packer team went 14-4 with arguably only one legit WR and receiving threat aside from RB. To me, that FACT blows away any black and white ideas of needing to have first round talent at WR. Truth is, and I think really that most of us agree, that it all depends upon what the team does with whatever talent it has.Yoop wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 20:30this has to be one of the lamest excuses for not getting better receivers, obviously these GM's are idiots for taking the receiver that where picked in the first round last thursday, and just waited to get guys in the 2nd, course our GM did neither, in fact our Gms not only havn't used a 1st on one they havn't used a 2nd on one either in over 6 years, we are the laughing stock of anyone that knows this sport, you gotta be a real homer to support the BS this FO has pulled concerning that position, I'am sure Mike McCarthy agree's with me.
Yoop wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 23:43always extremes with you, it's not that Rodgers didn't get good receivers, the point is not lately, the rallying cry wasn't that Ted didn't draft defensive players as he snubbed Rodgers or the offense, it's that he missed with so many of the defensive picks, the freaking rallying cry was you and other complaining and thinking it's the coaching, or with Rodgers that he cant turn jags into Adams type receivers, your always trying to paint blame in the wrong area, your turning every point to the extreme, and your constant attacks, ruin the conversation for me, I don't need your ignorant insults, .go pak go wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 21:322011 - 2017 the rallying cry was the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't field him a defense.
Now that he has a defense, the rallying cry has shifted that the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't give him and never given him any WR talent.
I have heard more b*thing of lack of WR talent during his entire career than I ever imagined possible. This argument is just not true. It's not even close to true.
I honestly don't think you can have a better group of WRs on a team than the Packers did from 2009 - 2014. I mean it was league historical great. Like for sure the best in GB all time and one of best league all time. The only problem with that from a team perspective though is it only produced two postseason wins from 2011 - 2014. The offense just didn't produce when we needed it to. The team needed a different direction and allocated resources to the defense.
For the most part that attempt failed until 2018. We are now in the 2nd part of the building process from 2018.
Rodgers has never been screwed of offensive talent He has had amazing Olines, amazing WRs and occasionally amazing running games. We just didn't have anything to show for it. I will agree our WR #2 has been below average in 2019 (2018 we still had Adams and Cobb). But that is one year. Not an entire career.
we both know that good health, easy schedule, and lady luck played into the 14-4 season, yet against a couple good defenses we could not move the chains, those opponents shut down our Rb's and to easily took away Adams and the rest of our receivers.Scott4Pack wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 07:25That could be said, except that this last Packer team went 14-4 with arguably only one legit WR and receiving threat aside from RB. To me, that FACT blows away any black and white ideas of needing to have first round talent at WR. Truth is, and I think really that most of us agree, that it all depends upon what the team does with whatever talent it has.Yoop wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 20:30this has to be one of the lamest excuses for not getting better receivers, obviously these GM's are idiots for taking the receiver that where picked in the first round last thursday, and just waited to get guys in the 2nd, course our GM did neither, in fact our Gms not only havn't used a 1st on one they havn't used a 2nd on one either in over 6 years, we are the laughing stock of anyone that knows this sport, you gotta be a real homer to support the BS this FO has pulled concerning that position, I'am sure Mike McCarthy agree's with me.
Let somebody make a curve on the higher round draft picks making a substantial difference in team performance. You might have a curve with some improvement. But it's not going to prove a thing. There'll be just as many 1st round WRs on teams that don't make the playoffs.
now your lying or twisting what I said, and you know you are, so this is more premeditated bull from you, good bye.go pak go wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 07:37Yoop wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 23:43always extremes with you, it's not that Rodgers didn't get good receivers, the point is not lately, the rallying cry wasn't that Ted didn't draft defensive players as he snubbed Rodgers or the offense, it's that he missed with so many of the defensive picks, the freaking rallying cry was you and other complaining and thinking it's the coaching, or with Rodgers that he cant turn jags into Adams type receivers, your always trying to paint blame in the wrong area, your turning every point to the extreme, and your constant attacks, ruin the conversation for me, I don't need your ignorant insults, .go pak go wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 21:322011 - 2017 the rallying cry was the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't field him a defense.
Now that he has a defense, the rallying cry has shifted that the Packers are screwing Aaron Rodgers because they can't give him and never given him any WR talent.
I have heard more b*thing of lack of WR talent during his entire career than I ever imagined possible. This argument is just not true. It's not even close to true.
I honestly don't think you can have a better group of WRs on a team than the Packers did from 2009 - 2014. I mean it was league historical great. Like for sure the best in GB all time and one of best league all time. The only problem with that from a team perspective though is it only produced two postseason wins from 2011 - 2014. The offense just didn't produce when we needed it to. The team needed a different direction and allocated resources to the defense.
For the most part that attempt failed until 2018. We are now in the 2nd part of the building process from 2018.
Rodgers has never been screwed of offensive talent He has had amazing Olines, amazing WRs and occasionally amazing running games. We just didn't have anything to show for it. I will agree our WR #2 has been below average in 2019 (2018 we still had Adams and Cobb). But that is one year. Not an entire career.
Literally last week narrative was Rodgers hasn't had good WRs in 6 or 7 years. There was a post two days ago from you when talking about the playoff losses from 2007 - 2014 and once again couldn't help but blame the receivers.
I have said, over and over and over and over again that I have no problem saying the WR has dropped in 2018 and 2019 with the caveat that it is hard to blame management for 2018 when going into Week 1 our starting WRs were Adams and Cobb with a glut of talented and gifted WRs on the back end of the roster. That is not not extreme. That is exactly what has happened.
Honestly folks. Management has dropped the ball on providing WR talent for 2019 and the offseason of 2020.
That's what we are looking at.
That's exactly right; each season brings a new team. And that is exactly why Guty and MLF and staff are where they are today. They are going to believe that there will be growth in all phases of the team. They will run and defend the run better, even with lesser replacements. They will pass and defend the pass better too. They are going to believe in their plans and concepts.Yoop wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 07:53we both know that good health, easy schedule, and lady luck played into the 14-4 season, yet against a couple good defenses we could not move the chains, those opponents shut down our Rb's and to easily took away Adams and the rest of our receivers.Scott4Pack wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 07:25That could be said, except that this last Packer team went 14-4 with arguably only one legit WR and receiving threat aside from RB. To me, that FACT blows away any black and white ideas of needing to have first round talent at WR. Truth is, and I think really that most of us agree, that it all depends upon what the team does with whatever talent it has.Yoop wrote: ↑28 Apr 2020 20:30this has to be one of the lamest excuses for not getting better receivers, obviously these GM's are idiots for taking the receiver that where picked in the first round last thursday, and just waited to get guys in the 2nd, course our GM did neither, in fact our Gms not only havn't used a 1st on one they havn't used a 2nd on one either in over 6 years, we are the laughing stock of anyone that knows this sport, you gotta be a real homer to support the BS this FO has pulled concerning that position, I'am sure Mike McCarthy agree's with me.
Let somebody make a curve on the higher round draft picks making a substantial difference in team performance. You might have a curve with some improvement. But it's not going to prove a thing. There'll be just as many 1st round WRs on teams that don't make the playoffs.
this to me is obvious, we needed, and have for 5 years a better #2 receiver, if we had one last year we could have put up a better fight against SF, and more easily won some other very tough games, the fact that we somehow won shouldn't blind us to that, obviously the odds are better to find a better receiver in round one then round 2 or 3 etc., and if ya take a receiver in the 2nd that plays as well or better then some first rounders doesn't mean 2nd rounders are automatically better value then taking them in the first, there simply are more receivers taken then, which translates to more successes simply do to numbers.
each season brings a new team, part of that is based on what the team did the prior year, we wont have the easy schedule, we may not stay as healthy, we still could have transitional woes with MLF's schemes, lots of stuff can derail the outcome, the point is to prepare by taking players that stand the best chance to improve that outcome, imho we have not the last 4 or 5 years, instead we hog tied our best player by not providing him the type players that would help him excel, and to me thats been a huge mistake.
welll ya, of course Guty and MLF believe in there plan, thats not to say other plans wont work, and that better receivers would be part of that plan.Scott4Pack wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 08:22That's exactly right; each season brings a new team. And that is exactly why Guty and MLF and staff are where they are today. They are going to believe that there will be growth in all phases of the team. They will run and defend the run better, even with lesser replacements. They will pass and defend the pass better too. They are going to believe in their plans and concepts.Yoop wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 07:53we both know that good health, easy schedule, and lady luck played into the 14-4 season, yet against a couple good defenses we could not move the chains, those opponents shut down our Rb's and to easily took away Adams and the rest of our receivers.Scott4Pack wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 07:25
That could be said, except that this last Packer team went 14-4 with arguably only one legit WR and receiving threat aside from RB. To me, that FACT blows away any black and white ideas of needing to have first round talent at WR. Truth is, and I think really that most of us agree, that it all depends upon what the team does with whatever talent it has.
Let somebody make a curve on the higher round draft picks making a substantial difference in team performance. You might have a curve with some improvement. But it's not going to prove a thing. There'll be just as many 1st round WRs on teams that don't make the playoffs.
this to me is obvious, we needed, and have for 5 years a better #2 receiver, if we had one last year we could have put up a better fight against SF, and more easily won some other very tough games, the fact that we somehow won shouldn't blind us to that, obviously the odds are better to find a better receiver in round one then round 2 or 3 etc., and if ya take a receiver in the 2nd that plays as well or better then some first rounders doesn't mean 2nd rounders are automatically better value then taking them in the first, there simply are more receivers taken then, which translates to more successes simply do to numbers.
each season brings a new team, part of that is based on what the team did the prior year, we wont have the easy schedule, we may not stay as healthy, we still could have transitional woes with MLF's schemes, lots of stuff can derail the outcome, the point is to prepare by taking players that stand the best chance to improve that outcome, imho we have not the last 4 or 5 years, instead we hog tied our best player by not providing him the type players that would help him excel, and to me thats been a huge mistake.
That doesn't mean they haven't either sought other WRs/players in FA, or wanted to draft other players. But if the guys you can believe in simply aren't available what are ya gonna do? And then some who fit your system are there in the draft anyhow and you believe in them? And your WRs should step up in year 3, like Davante and others did. Those things are perfectly reasonable.
This team might win a couple less games next season and still be a better team and stand up better to a team like the Niners.
my issue with this is that you are automatically assuming health, from players who do not deserve that benefit of the doubt. Both "upgrades" missed all of 2019. Its hard to predict how they will file back onto the field in 2020.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑29 Apr 2020 10:58I'm going to open this post by stating that I, too, really wanted to add a top-flight WR that could win the #2 spot by mid-season. So I'm not poo-poo'ing the discussion.
But what's sorta frustrating is that almost everyone would agree with two things:
- Devin Funchess is a slight upgrade from Geronimo Allison, and...
So, if you agree to those two things... and those are the only two changes made to the WR group... then our WR group DID get better this year. Not as much as we want. Not with an elite talent. Not with a draft pick or pricey free agent.
- EQSB has more potential to help the team than Ryan Grant did last year
But if the only two changes made were positive-replacements, then we've made a positive change on the position.
So we slightly upgraded the position from the 13-3 team while also adding to other aspects of the offense designed to make the passing game easier.
On offense,
Wagner < Bulaga
Funchess > Allison
EQSB > Ryan Grant
Sternberger =?= Jimmy Graham
Deguara >? Vitale
Dillon > Dexter Williams and probably Jamaal Williams
and even some depth...
Love > Manny Wilkins
Runyan >? Cole Madison
Like, we're actually better on offense, fairly objectively. And we're all up in arms that we're not MORE BETTER BY ENOUGH.
Is the defense better? I'm not sure. Talent-wise, Kirksey > Martinez, but in availability and consistency? Martinez takes the cake. And Tramon Williams was a very solid major contributor, now likely to be replaced by SUllivan, who was also solid in a smaler role, but is certainly more unknown... or Hollman? We don't know. And the new additions to the depth chart come from Day 3, where we shouldn't count on a lot rookie impact, barring injury.