Re: Jordan Love 2023 Expectation/Player Comparison
Posted: 10 Oct 2023 23:49
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Love would have to improve pretty fast for them to be on the same trajectory. Goff threw 28 TDs and only 7 INTs in his second seasons after starting only seven games as a rookie and had a passer rating of 100.5 that year.Labrev wrote: ↑10 Oct 2023 08:33I am seeing early-years Jared Goff, an overall middling QB that would make some big-time throws and have nice games that showed you why he was a first-round pick, followed up by games where he flat-out stinks.
Goff is good now albeit not an elite QB, but it took a while to reach this point, and his original team decided to deal him for an established vet. DET seems happy with him but LA probably is not too broken up about not having him.
And he had McVay to help his development along. We tried to go a similar route at HC, but it seems clear to me that LaFleur is no McVay. If anything, Tom Clements had more to do with making Love playable than MLF did.
Love played well when he had time to throw. He does not deal well with pressure. And lets face it, the Oline is not very good. Bottom 5 in the league so far.CWIMM wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 04:25Love would have to improve pretty fast for them to be on the same trajectory. Goff threw 28 TDs and only 7 INTs in his second seasons after starting only seven games as a rookie and had a passer rating of 100.5 that year.Labrev wrote: ↑10 Oct 2023 08:33I am seeing early-years Jared Goff, an overall middling QB that would make some big-time throws and have nice games that showed you why he was a first-round pick, followed up by games where he flat-out stinks.
Goff is good now albeit not an elite QB, but it took a while to reach this point, and his original team decided to deal him for an established vet. DET seems happy with him but LA probably is not too broken up about not having him.
And he had McVay to help his development along. We tried to go a similar route at HC, but it seems clear to me that LaFleur is no McVay. If anything, Tom Clements had more to do with making Love playable than MLF did.
As mentioned in another thread that's not true. According to PFF only three quarterbacks have been pressured on a smaller percentage of dropbacks than Love so far. In addition he ranks only 21st in passer rating when kept clean.TheSkeptic wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 04:59Love played well when he had time to throw. He does not deal well with pressure. And lets face it, the Oline is not very good. Bottom 5 in the league so far.
PFF is strange. For example, vs the Raiders Preston Smith was rated last on D, because of a 25 pass coverage grade. But Preston Smith should NEVER be asked to cover Devonte Adams.CWIMM wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 05:24As mentioned in another thread that's not true. According to PFF only three quarterbacks have been pressured on a smaller percentage of dropbacks than Love so far. In addition he ranks only 21st in passer rating when kept clean.TheSkeptic wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 04:59Love played well when he had time to throw. He does not deal well with pressure. And lets face it, the Oline is not very good. Bottom 5 in the league so far.
I don't put a whole lot of stock into their grades but their premium stats are actually pretty telling.TheSkeptic wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 05:39PFF is strange. For example, vs the Raiders Preston Smith was rated last on D, because of a 25 pass coverage grade. But Preston Smith should NEVER be asked to cover Devonte Adams.
Love has faced free rushers in every game, multiple times in most games and the last 2 games every series he plays.CWIMM wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 05:45I don't put a whole lot of stock into their grades but their premium stats are actually pretty telling.TheSkeptic wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 05:39PFF is strange. For example, vs the Raiders Preston Smith was rated last on D, because of a 25 pass coverage grade. But Preston Smith should NEVER be asked to cover Devonte Adams.
I didn’t post bc he wrote a novel and you have to login on browser to see the full tweet and I never login to apps on browser. It’s all the apps really get all your data and everything about ya. I was hoping someone could post a screen shot of the full comments. From what I could see tho, he basically implied he got cut because Lafleur didn’t like him and he said the offense is outdated and he hasn’t evolved in since he was an assistant coach
This.TheSkeptic wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 04:59Love played well when he had time to throw. He does not deal well with pressure. And lets face it, the Oline is not very good. Bottom 5 in the league so far.CWIMM wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 04:25Love would have to improve pretty fast for them to be on the same trajectory. Goff threw 28 TDs and only 7 INTs in his second seasons after starting only seven games as a rookie and had a passer rating of 100.5 that year.Labrev wrote: ↑10 Oct 2023 08:33I am seeing early-years Jared Goff, an overall middling QB that would make some big-time throws and have nice games that showed you why he was a first-round pick, followed up by games where he flat-out stinks.
Goff is good now albeit not an elite QB, but it took a while to reach this point, and his original team decided to deal him for an established vet. DET seems happy with him but LA probably is not too broken up about not having him.
And he had McVay to help his development along. We tried to go a similar route at HC, but it seems clear to me that LaFleur is no McVay. If anything, Tom Clements had more to do with making Love playable than MLF did.
Just the messenger and this was tweeted 5 minutes ago:Papa John wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 09:52Look, some of the Packers fan base swore up and down last season that this team would have been more competitive with Love at QB than Rodgers. At this point, that argument is absolutely BTFO.
That being said, I am not giving up on Jordan Love. This next game is going to carry a lot of weight for me. Denver is buried in the &%$@ house of the league in just about every conceivable passing defense statistic. It is really important to me that Love show some kind of resilience in this game. If he comes back and gives us another Raider game, I think that will be it for me.
23, thanks for the info. What is EPA?Pckfn23 wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 10:04Just the messenger and this was tweet 5 minutes ago:Papa John wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 09:52Look, some of the Packers fan base swore up and down last season that this team would have been more competitive with Love at QB than Rodgers. At this point, that argument is absolutely BTFO.
That being said, I am not giving up on Jordan Love. This next game is going to carry a lot of weight for me. Denver is buried in the &%$@ house of the league in just about every conceivable passing defense statistic. It is really important to me that Love show some kind of resilience in this game. If he comes back and gives us another Raider game, I think that will be it for me.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/837 ... nts-metricPapa John wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 10:1123, thanks for the info. What is EPA?Pckfn23 wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 10:04Just the messenger and this was tweet 5 minutes ago:Papa John wrote: ↑11 Oct 2023 09:52Look, some of the Packers fan base swore up and down last season that this team would have been more competitive with Love at QB than Rodgers. At this point, that argument is absolutely BTFO.
That being said, I am not giving up on Jordan Love. This next game is going to carry a lot of weight for me. Denver is buried in the &%$@ house of the league in just about every conceivable passing defense statistic. It is really important to me that Love show some kind of resilience in this game. If he comes back and gives us another Raider game, I think that will be it for me.
The overall point here is that EPA is the granular, play-by-play version of what wins the game. The team that has more points wins 100 percent of all games, but points don't change with every play in the game. Yards, first downs and turnovers are significant and do change somewhat on a play-by-play basis, but those are crude subdivisions of points that aren't even on the same scale and don't always correlate with winning.
EPA accounts for all of those events and ends up matching the score at the end of the game. Because EPA also changes on a play-by-play basis, it is the correct way to split up those points on the scoreboard. If you want something that, at the end of the game, is as good as the score at saying who wins but that also changes with every play in the game, use EPA.
who does?