YoHoChecko wrote: ↑15 Aug 2020 10:11
go pak go wrote: ↑15 Aug 2020 09:55
Right Tackle
Right Guard
Center
Left Tackle
CB2
DT1
RB1
ILB1
ILB2
WR2,WR3
Did you seriously just list every position where a free agent contract expires over the next two years and count it as a hole?
Honestly, I see your caveat at the bottom, but that's just a completely useless and irrelevant look at roster composition. Like less than useless; the kind of information that creates false narratives more effectively than realistic ones. It's actively a bad use of information.
No it's not. It shows that we are potentially churning a new roster. Cripes. Look at the offensive line alone. There is a serious possibility that the only one player on the offensive line in 2021 will have been on the team in 2019. (the Oline as we know it) That's 80% turn. That's a whole new line.
Sure there is a chance we sign Bak or Linsley but that's far from guaranteed. Especially with the amount of "cheap" positions about to turn expensive positions and we have no idea what the cap situation will look like in 2021 or 2022.
And it's not next two years. It's they have a contract expire after this year or they were a cheap hole filled this past year with no data to go on in a Packers uniform.
Right Tackle - position is currently in question
Right Guard - position is currently in question
Center - expires after 2020
Left Tackle - expires after 2020
CB2 - expires after 2020 (cheap rookie deal)
DT1 - expires after 2020 (just went from cheap to expensive)
RB1 - expires after 2020 (cheap rookie deal)
ILB1 - position is currently in question and player hasn't played a full season in two years
ILB2 - we don't have a player here
WR2, WR3 - current position is definitely still in question
That's a lot of holes.
We are almost assured that LT, CB2, C DT (just happened), RB1 will get moderately more to a lot more expensive in 2021.
So when you lay out the data like that, it allows people to see that we likely can keep at most 2 of the four holes who will get more expensive. And maybe only 1. It also means we likely can't apply a quick fix at any other position in FA if we need to.
Absolutely we can fill some of these holes with resigning players (we already did one). But that's a lot of holes and we don't know what resources we will have to fill them. And that's not even considering the significant cap hit increase from Rodgers, Smith, and Smith.
I am more cautious and conservative on our perceived window than others.
The 2021 team could end up looking very different than the 2019 team. That has a possibility of being a new window.