Six-Pack Pick'em Challenge: Week 11

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BF004
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Post by BF004 »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
APB wrote:
14 Nov 2024 17:58
It’s not often you get the chance to choose the Chiefs as your upset pick.
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I hope it ends in a tie
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Post by APB »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
APB wrote:
14 Nov 2024 17:58
It’s not often you get the chance to choose the Chiefs as your upset pick.
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
Same.

I even catch myself hesitant to double dip with the upset pick because regardless of how confident I am in the pick, I fear being knocked two misses on one game and setting my ceiling at four. I'm a greedy bettor which makes me a terrible bettor.

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Post by BSA »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last. 8-)
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
IT. IS. TIME

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Post by APB »

BSA wrote:
15 Nov 2024 12:01
NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last. 8-)
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
Speaking of hedging bets, @Papa John is in an advantageous spot right now because he's been so consistent. Both of his low score weeks still hit on three picks. He has the luxury of gambling a bit if he chooses knowing that if he loses, his floor for the week is still three picks since a lower score will just be pushed to a mulligan week. That's a nice little safety net.

And I despise him for it.

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Post by Papa John »

APB wrote:
15 Nov 2024 13:02
BSA wrote:
15 Nov 2024 12:01
NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:42
I am always intrigued by the hedging of the bet. You know you'll get 1 out of 2. I just can't ever go there. I want a 6 every week.
I was on the road and missed first half of season- so now I'm just trying to amass enough points so I don't finish last. 8-)
Seems like you're trading 100 % chance of 1 point for a 25 % chance at 2.
Speaking of hedging bets, @Papa John is in an advantageous spot right now because he's been so consistent. Both of his low score weeks still hit on three picks. He has the luxury of gambling a bit if he chooses knowing that if he loses, his floor for the week is still three picks since a lower score will just be pushed to a mulligan week. That's a nice little safety net.

And I despise him for it.
Thank you for this breakdown. I was actually thinking about the implications of this exact rule yesterday when I saw that the new thread came out.
"It's better to decide wrongly than weakly; if you're weak, you're likely to be wrong anyway."
- Bill Parcells

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Post by mnkcarp »

The Four:
:ravens:
:bengals:
:falcons:
:chiefs:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:falcons:

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Post by Raptorman »

BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs

The One:
Green Bay Packers

Upset
Missing a pick?

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Post by BF004 »

Raptorman wrote:
15 Nov 2024 21:05
BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs

The One:
Green Bay Packers

Upset
Missing a pick?
Yes, can never bring up a gambling site with odds on my work computer, all blocked. Just always hope I remember to get that in before Sunday, lol.
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Post by Batgirl »

Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Buffalo Bills

The One:
Green Bay Packers


Upset:
Dallas Cowboys

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Post by Papa John »

The Four:
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons @ Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills

The One:
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

Your upset pick:
Indianapolis Colts
"It's better to decide wrongly than weakly; if you're weak, you're likely to be wrong anyway."
- Bill Parcells

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Post by APB »

The Four:
:ravens:
:bengals:
:broncos:
:bills:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:saints:

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Post by Pckfn23 »

The Four:
:steelers:
:bengals:
:broncos:
:bills:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:saints:
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Post by APB »

NCF wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:44
The Four:
:ravens:
:bengals:
:broncos:
:bills:

The One:
:packers:

Your upset pick:
:browns:
FYI - Browns are favored to win. Pick again.

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Post by lake shark »

4
:steelers:
:chargers:
:falcons:
:bills:
1
:packers:
U
:patriots:

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Post by NCF »

OK, Saints over Browns, then.
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Post by APB »

NCF wrote:
17 Nov 2024 10:46
OK, Saints over Browns, then.
Update your OP, pls. Makes it easier when I go back and tally scores.

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Post by APB »

BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 22:06
Raptorman wrote:
15 Nov 2024 21:05
BF004 wrote:
15 Nov 2024 08:48
The Four:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs

The One:
Green Bay Packers

Upset
Missing a pick?
Yes, can never bring up a gambling site with odds on my work computer, all blocked. Just always hope I remember to get that in before Sunday, lol.
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Post by BF004 »

Patriots for upset
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Post by APB »

BF004 wrote:
17 Nov 2024 11:46
Patriots for upset
https://packers-huddle.com/phpBB/viewt ... 05#p183905

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Post by APB »

Between @Cdragon and @Pckfn23, it looks like we’re finally gonna get our first perfect pick week! :aok:

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