I agree. I don't know exactly where that line should be, but there should be a line.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:13I also think it's worth mentioning that Blake's 4.71 and Warner's 4.64 definitely breach some kind of barrier. I know it's nitpicky to say 0.07 seconds of speed is important, but when you're looking at a preferred range of around 4.55 - 4.65, Warner is just on the cusp of that, and Martinez easily outside of it. I don't know if that makes much more difference than the explosion visible in the jumps and splits, but I think it's noteworthy enough to mention as a difference.
2020 Positional Draft Talk - ILB
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- Pckfn23
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I think your range is too low. There are good linebackers that run a 4.7. Personally 4.75 is my line. Anything over that I would take them off the board.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:13I also think it's worth mentioning that Blake's 4.71 and Warner's 4.64 definitely breach some kind of barrier. I know it's nitpicky to say 0.07 seconds of speed is important, but when you're looking at a preferred range of around 4.55 - 4.65, Warner is just on the cusp of that, and Martinez easily outside of it. I don't know if that makes much more difference than the explosion visible in the jumps and splits, but I think it's noteworthy enough to mention as a difference.
Martinez' huge issue was pointed out by BF, that vertical is horrendous.
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Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
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That's insanely close to Martinez's actual numbers.
Height: 6' 1.6 (1/8" taller)
Weight: 237 (4 pounds lighter)
40 Yard Dash: 4.71 (exact)
10 Yard Split: 1.61 (exact)
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 22 (exact)
Vertical Jump: 28.5" (5.5" higher)
Broad Jump: 113" (3" shorter)
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.20 (0.06 faster)
3-Cone Drill: 6.98 (0.12 faster)
Martinez: average 2nd level LB extraordinaire
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Also need to take into account standard deviation. When you look at Vertical, for example, 5.5" might not seem like a lot, but that takes him from the 50th percentile to the 4th percentile.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:19That's insanely close to Martinez's actual numbers.
Height: 6' 1.6 (1/8" taller)
Weight: 237 (4 pounds lighter)
40 Yard Dash: 4.71 (exact)
10 Yard Split: 1.61 (exact)
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 22 (exact)
Vertical Jump: 28.5" (5.5" higher)
Broad Jump: 113" (3" shorter)
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.20 (0.06 faster)
3-Cone Drill: 6.98 (0.12 faster)
Martinez: average 2nd level LB extraordinaire
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
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The question was "ideal."
My ideal is to have one of the faster LBs in the league, not the league average. My ideal is to get a guy like Kuechly (4.58) or Warner (4.64) or Roquan (4.51) or Bobby Wagner (4.46). Vander Esch was still at a 4.65 despite his better bulk.
That's my ideal. It's not too low. That's my range.
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You didn't specify that that was YOUR range.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:23The question was "ideal."
My ideal is to have one of the faster LBs in the league, not the league average. My ideal is to get a guy like Kuechly (4.58) or Warner (4.64) or Roquan (4.51) or Bobby Wagner (4.46). Vander Esch was still at a 4.65 despite his better bulk.
That's my ideal. It's not too low. That's my range.
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
well how has average worked out for us? I don't get all this love for average, it's been obvious since the early decline with AJ Hawks speed that average is what has really hurt us in short zone coverage, so much so that we,ve went through a half doz very average safety's attempting to gain more coverage speed, if anything these slow ( average doesn't mean a thing if average is to slow) lbers have been a huge liability.
no he may not have, but I did right from the start. speed is our friend, bulky slow twitch lbers are a thing of the past. this is the nascar era of pro footballPckfn23 wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:30You didn't specify that that was YOUR range.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:23The question was "ideal."
My ideal is to have one of the faster LBs in the league, not the league average. My ideal is to get a guy like Kuechly (4.58) or Warner (4.64) or Roquan (4.51) or Bobby Wagner (4.46). Vander Esch was still at a 4.65 despite his better bulk.
That's my ideal. It's not too low. That's my range.
I think your point earlier that low cone and shuttle are better indicators of needed speed for ILB, unfortunatly some of the players only run the 40, to me though some of the other drills tell us more.YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:23The question was "ideal."
My ideal is to have one of the faster LBs in the league, not the league average. My ideal is to get a guy like Kuechly (4.58) or Warner (4.64) or Roquan (4.51) or Bobby Wagner (4.46). Vander Esch was still at a 4.65 despite his better bulk.
That's my ideal. It's not too low. That's my range.
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If I revise my vertical standards to at least 32" and my 40-time to 4.66 (because otherwise, a ton are getting chopped) and I count the few who don't have a 3-cone as at least temporarily qualifying, there are 12 LBs who meet my athletic standards (and at least 230 pounds) from this year's combine:
(in order of speed)
Isaiah Simmons
Willie Gay Jr
Shaun Bradley
Kenneth Murray
Jordan Brooks
Carter Coughlin
Casey Toohill
Logan Wilson
Malik Harrison
Mykal Walker
Baun misses due to broad jump; Davion Taylor due to weight; Jacob Phillips due to 3-cone; Kamara Azur due to jumps; Khalek Hudson due to weight.
So let's just take one or two of these guys, k? Preferably instinctive ones
(in order of speed)
Isaiah Simmons
Willie Gay Jr
Shaun Bradley
Kenneth Murray
Jordan Brooks
Carter Coughlin
Casey Toohill
Logan Wilson
Malik Harrison
Mykal Walker
Baun misses due to broad jump; Davion Taylor due to weight; Jacob Phillips due to 3-cone; Kamara Azur due to jumps; Khalek Hudson due to weight.
So let's just take one or two of these guys, k? Preferably instinctive ones
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What love for average? Who is loving average? Averages are just being stated as are ideals and thresholds... Nothing more. What your opinion of slow is and what actually is necessary to be a good ILB are 2 different things.Yoop wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:31well how has average worked out for us? I don't get all this love for average, it's been obvious since the early decline with AJ Hawks speed that average is what has really hurt us in short zone coverage, so much so that we,ve went through a half doz very average safety's attempting to gain more coverage speed, if anything these slow ( average doesn't mean a thing if average is to slow) lbers have been a huge liability.
To put it bluntly, No &%$@.speed is our friend, bulky slow twitch lbers are a thing of the past. this is the nascar era of pro football
Everyone would love to see a 240 pound linebacker that can run a 4.3, 6.8 3-cone, and 4.0 shuttle, while jumping out of the stadium. That's just not going to happen though. We can't trot out safeties and expect them to be good run defenders either. We need to find the best of both worlds and that isn't easy.
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
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Do you have a nice sortable list somewhere?YoHoChecko wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:50If I revise my vertical standards to at least 32" and my 40-time to 4.66 (because otherwise, a ton are getting chopped) and I count the few who don't have a 3-cone as at least temporarily qualifying, there are 12 LBs who meet my athletic standards (and at least 230 pounds) from this year's combine:
(in order of speed)
Isaiah Simmons
Willie Gay Jr
Shaun Bradley
Kenneth Murray
Jordan Brooks
Carter Coughlin
Casey Toohill
Logan Wilson
Malik Harrison
Mykal Walker
Baun misses due to broad jump; Davion Taylor due to weight; Jacob Phillips due to 3-cone; Kamara Azur due to jumps; Khalek Hudson due to weight.
So let's just take one or two of these guys, k? Preferably instinctive ones
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
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I just did it myself:
Palmy - "Very few have the ability to truly excel regardless of system. For many the system is the difference between being just a guy or an NFL starter. Fact is, everyone is talented at this level."
YEAH!!! I have been saying for years I don't want average either!!Yoop wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:31well how has average worked out for us? I don't get all this love for average, it's been obvious since the early decline with AJ Hawks speed that average is what has really hurt us in short zone coverage, so much so that we,ve went through a half doz very average safety's attempting to gain more coverage speed, if anything these slow ( average doesn't mean a thing if average is to slow) lbers have been a huge liability.
Enough with average. I want us to actually focus on elite for a change. Time for elite Olinemen, elite RBs, elite WRs, elite TEs, elite DLs, elite LBs, and don't forget about pass rushers. And none of that matters unless we have elite CBs who can't do their job unless we have elite safeties behind them.
Start doing your job Gute.
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Does anyone meet all these averages for 2020? Nope. Casey Toohill is the closest missing the bench by 5 reps. Malik Harrison is close with his shuttle being a touch slow and no bench. Willie Gay is darn close as well.Height: 6-1.5
Weight: 241
40 Yard Dash: 4.71
10 Yard Split: 1.61
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 22
Vertical Jump: 34"
Broad Jump: 116"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.26
3-Cone Drill: 7.1
Only guys I have found so far to meet all the above criteria.... surprise, surprise... Luke Kuechly, Brian Urlacher
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Pckfn23 wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 14:21Does anyone meet all these averages for 2020? Nope. Casey Toohill is the closest missing the bench by 5 reps. Malik Harrison is close with his shuttle being a touch slow and no bench. Willie Gay is darn close as well.Height: 6-1.5
Weight: 241
40 Yard Dash: 4.71
10 Yard Split: 1.61
225 Lb. Bench Reps: 22
Vertical Jump: 34"
Broad Jump: 116"
20 Yrd Shuttle: 4.26
3-Cone Drill: 7.1
Only person I have found so far to meet all the above criteria.... surprise, surprise... Luke Kuechly
Mmmhmm....
What I was going to be driving at but lacked combine stats and time. Everyone wants these guys, but they don't exist.
And everybody wants elite players, not average players. But when you don't pick in the top ten twice in the last 30 years, you are going to be missing out on the elite talents, should they even exist. I asked who guys here want, retired first ballot HOF'er got mentioned more than once, only one other person here even gave a current name, and his combine numbers aren't that different from Martinez.
It isn't about being complacent with mediocrity, its about being realistic about what is possible.
A lot of people here wanted Corey Littleton, go look at his measurables, they are dreadful. Good players, especially an instinct driven position like LB are good because of their brain, not how fast they run in a straight line without pads. Nick Kwaitoski is very middling too.
So we couldn't just throw money at the position to fix it how people want it fixed, and a draft prospect doesn't even exist even if we traded our whole draft class to move it. So people just need to be realistic about what we can do.
obviously it's impossible to have elite at all positions, thing is we havn't been close to it at ILB in like.... forever, and we see it every year when we struggle as we have at interior coverage, seriously it's why I say the closest we've come to being good there was with Hawk and Burnett, thats why If the choice is one of these average speed ILB's or the big safety, well thats not much of a choice to me, I'll take that safety every day of the week.go pak go wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 14:06YEAH!!! I have been saying for years I don't want average either!!Yoop wrote: ↑03 Apr 2020 11:31well how has average worked out for us? I don't get all this love for average, it's been obvious since the early decline with AJ Hawks speed that average is what has really hurt us in short zone coverage, so much so that we,ve went through a half doz very average safety's attempting to gain more coverage speed, if anything these slow ( average doesn't mean a thing if average is to slow) lbers have been a huge liability.
Enough with average. I want us to actually focus on elite for a change. Time for elite Olinemen, elite RBs, elite WRs, elite TEs, elite DLs, elite LBs, and don't forget about pass rushers. And none of that matters unless we have elite CBs who can't do their job unless we have elite safeties behind them.
Start doing your job Gute.
Usually, I am all about athletic ability in draft prospects, but ILB is one of the few positions where I make an exception. If I can't get a guy who's the total package, then give me the ready-now player. At this point, even Des Bishop would be a big help.
No more of these project athlete types like Burks, Bradford, Palmer, and what-have-you. Has there ever been a late-bloomer success story at ILB? If you have not figured out the position by college or you are not at least passable right now, it's not gonna happen.
No more of these project athlete types like Burks, Bradford, Palmer, and what-have-you. Has there ever been a late-bloomer success story at ILB? If you have not figured out the position by college or you are not at least passable right now, it's not gonna happen.
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